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	<title>REreflections.com &#187; Economics</title>
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	<description>Reflections on the Real Estate Industry and Real Estate Investing</description>
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		<title>What Use is a Real Estate Saleperson?</title>
		<link>http://rereflections.com/2008/11/24/what-use-is-a-real-estate-saleperson/</link>
		<comments>http://rereflections.com/2008/11/24/what-use-is-a-real-estate-saleperson/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 24 Nov 2008 13:05:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rereflections.com/?p=49</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
Image via Wikipedia

If you follow me in the world of social media, you know that I am a Twitter person. I listen, I comment, and I enjoy watching the stream This morning someone wrote &#8220;If Realtors are really successful, why are so many  homes on the market. Either you can sell or you can&#8217;t. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="zemanta-img" style="margin: 1em; float: right; display: block;"><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Supply-demand-right-shift-demand.svg"><img style="border: medium none; display: block;" src="http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/e/eb/Supply-demand-right-shift-demand.svg/202px-Supply-demand-right-shift-demand.svg.png" alt="The supply and demand model describes how pric..." /></a></p>
<p class="zemanta-img-attribution" style="font-size: 0.8em;">Image via <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Supply-demand-right-shift-demand.svg">Wikipedia</a></p>
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<p>If you follow me in the world of social media, you know that I am a <a class="zem_slink" title="Twitter" rel="homepage" href="http://twitter.com">Twitter</a> person. I listen, I comment, and I enjoy watching the stream This morning someone wrote &#8220;<span class="entry-content">If <a class="zem_slink" title="National Association of Realtors" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Association_of_Realtors">Realtors</a> are really successful, why are so many  homes on the market. Either you can sell or you can&#8217;t. </span>&#8221;</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t understand what he is talking about, or the correlation of inventory with the impact of using a REALTOR. The purpose of selling a home through a real estate professional was never about just selling the home. It was about selling the home for the best price with the best terms possible, in a smooth and secure manner minimizing the risk of potential litigation.</p>
<p>In a market where demand outpaces supply (commonly referred to as a seller&#8217;s market) the need for a real estate professional is often less obvious because consumers confuse getting it sold with getting it sold properly (as I defined it above). And because of that confusion, the value that the professional adds to the transaction seems to be obfuscated by the market activity. (I know its a big word &#8211; I usually eschew obfuscation, but <a class="zem_slink" title="Google" rel="homepage" href="http://google.com">Google</a> the word if you need to)</p>
<p>In a market where the supply outpaces the demand (commonly referred to as a buyer&#8217;s market) the seller&#8217;s need for the services of a real estate professional becomes more obvious because it is more difficult to find the qualified buyer to purchase the home for any price, let alone the best price for the seller. But that same price pressure often leads the seller to the mistaken impression that the best strategy is to sell the property without professional assistance to allow them more room to negotiate. But that doesn&#8217;t make the need for a REALTOR any less urgent, or the impact on the transaction of the professional&#8217;s services any less crucial.</p>
<p>In fact, I would suggest that the absorption rate of even the slower market would be negatively impacted by the removal of the REALTOR&#8217;s services. Perhaps the best analogy is that of a room that is dimly lit by a few candles. The argument made by my twitter bud seems to be that the poor lighting in the room is due to the presence of the candles, when without their illumination, the room would have been in deeper if not total darkness.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t know why REALTOR bashing is so popular, except that it is always easy to bash a class of people. Professional goups are faceless and do not respond to small slights like these, and these unsupported statements, fallacious as they are, create untrue impressions in those who read them. And when the market is tough, and people seek to blame someone, faceless groups become an easy target.</p>
<p>So if you are a REALTOR, and struggle against a slow market in your area, be proud of the positive impact you have on the ability of your buyers and sellers to make the moves they need to make in their lives. And if you are a consumer, struggling against that same market, hold your agent accountable to do what they can, and to (perhaps as importantly) explain to you what they are doing and why, but don;t blame them for the vagaries of the marketplace, anymore than you should give them credit for the better marketplaces we have experienced.</p>
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		<title>What are the Fundamentals of Real Estate?</title>
		<link>http://rereflections.com/2008/10/08/what-are-the-fundamantals-of-real-estate/</link>
		<comments>http://rereflections.com/2008/10/08/what-are-the-fundamantals-of-real-estate/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Oct 2008 17:30:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rereflections.com/?p=45</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
Image via Wikipedia


Maybe I&#8217;ve been around the real estate industry for too long.Or maybe I&#8217;m just not bright enough to get the economics &#8220;du jour&#8221; &#8211; in any case, when I saw an Inman News article entitled &#8220;A new set of real estate fundamentals&#8221; I was annoyed.
When I look at the current market, I see [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="zemanta-img zemanta-action-click" style="margin: 1em; float: right; display: block;"><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Shiller_IE2_Fig_2-1.png"><img style="border: medium none; display: block;" src="http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/6/6c/Shiller_IE2_Fig_2-1.png/202px-Shiller_IE2_Fig_2-1.png" alt="{{en}} Plot created from Robert Shiller's data..." /></a></p>
<p class="zemanta-img-attribution">Image via <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Shiller_IE2_Fig_2-1.png">Wikipedia</a></p>
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<p style="text-align: center;">
<p>Maybe I&#8217;ve been around the real estate industry for too long.Or maybe I&#8217;m just not bright enough to get the economics &#8220;du jour&#8221; &#8211; in any case, when I saw an <a href="http://www.inman.com" target="_blank">Inman News</a> article entitled &#8220;<a href="http://www.inman.com/news/2008/10/7/a-new-set-real-estate-fundamentals" target="_blank">A new set of real estate fundamentals</a>&#8221; I was annoyed.</p>
<p>When I look at the current market, I see the same fundamentals that were in place when I started to sell real estate in 1971 &#8211; to wit;</p>
<ul>
<li>Housing is still a basic need.</li>
<li>Real Estate is not a liquid asset, and should be bought understanding that it is a long term investment</li>
<li>Everybody with a periodic housing expense is probably paying a mortgage for someone, and would usually benefit more if they pad one for themselves.</li>
<li>When you buy real estate that is affordable and fits your housing needs, over the long term, you will create additional financial stability for yourself and your family.</li>
</ul>
<p>These to me are fundamentals &#8211; and have been the bedrock of our industry, and it bothers me when people assume that there are &#8220;new fundamentals&#8221; &#8211; which are actually variations on these themes &#8211; some of which have short term validity, and many of which do not.</p>
<p>So I started reading the article with a chip on my shoulder &#8211; but after reading it through, I felt a lot better. The article actually was looking at the statements and assumptions made at a 2003 Inman conference on the &#8220;Housing Bubble&#8221; which generated some theories and suppositions about what was fueling that real estate market among which were growing Immigration, Unlimited Market Liquidity, and Consumer Confidence. In my opinion these are not fundamentals of the real estate market, but are moderating influences, as we have seen them play out.</p>
<p>Immigration for example was (and still is a powerful) force impacting demographics, but is impacted by both the economy here and abroad, as well as the political climate here and in other countries. As a result, this is not fundamental to real estate as a commodity, though it might positively or negatively impact demand in the market. The limits which we have seen placed on the &#8220;unlimited&#8221; liquidity of the mortgage market  also impacts the ability of consumers to act on their desire for housing, again acting as a moderating influence on the market (though certainly not fundamental to real estate) and finally, the lack of consumer confidence has been an important factor in limiting demand for real property as people find alternative investments, diminishing the &#8220;serendipitous&#8221; buyer, though the impact of those issues was important to that market, and changes in those sectors of the market are among the reasons for our current real estate market</p>
<p>My niece and nephew called today to talk about whether they should buy a house i- they moved to California form the East Coast, and the price of housing , even in today&#8217;s market is pretty high.  There is a house on the street where they live that has just come on the market. They like the street and the neighbors, its close to libraries, playgrounds, schools, and highways.  And they plan to be in the area for the next several years. So based upon their needs and wants, and their desire to build some financial stability for their family through their monthly housing expense, they are going to make an offer to purchase. The offer will be aggressively low (so they feel protected if the market continues to go down rather than up) but since they have good credit, a substantial down payment, and good employment, the terms of the offer are pretty good. Since the seller has a need to sell the property (and since she has lived in it for many years and has no debt) hopefully they will be able to reach an agreement. But whether they reach an agreement or not, at least both parties are motivated by what are truly the fundamentals of real estate and as a result will hopefully make decisions that benefit them -</p>
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